CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT TEST
Jim Hagedorn posts a substantial 14% lead over Dan Feehan, approaching the majority mark on his ballot support. Hagedorn receives stronger partisan support (86% of Republicans) than does Feehan (78% of Democrats), and Hagedorn leads among Independent voters (41-31%). Hagedorn also posts a lead in each of the three largest media markets of the district (Mankato: 46-33%, Minneapolis-St. Paul: 53-25%, Rochester: 48-38%).
GENERIC BALLOT TEST
A Republican has a 5% lead on the generic ballot for Congress, indicating that this district leans Republican. Jim Hagedorn is currently outperforming the generic ballot, illustrating the strength of his campaign at this point in the race.
TRUMP vs. PELOSI
Additionally, a majority of the electorate approves “of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President,” while just 27% have a favorable opinion of Nancy Pelosi.
And, a near-majority of likely voters say they would rather elect “a Republican who will help Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans pass their agenda” instead of “a Democrat who will put Nancy Pelosi back as Speaker of the House.
METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 400 likely voters in Minnesota Congressional District 1 and the margin of error is +/-4.9%. Responses were gathered via landline and mobile telephone interviews conducted by live callers at a professional call center. The survey was conducted August 23 – 26, 2018 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.